BACKGROUND: Dolutegravir (DTG) has proved to be more efficacious, tolerable, and safer than efavirenz (EFV) among mothers living with HIV and their infants in Uganda. However, no study has evaluated the cost-effectiveness of a DTG-based antiretroviral therapy (ART) for preventing perinatal transmission (PT) in women who present with HIV in late pregnancy. Therefore, this study assessed the cost-effectiveness of DTG-based ART compared to the existing standard of care (EFV-based ART) for preventing PT among pregnant women initiating ART in late pregnancy in Uganda.
METHODS: We used data from a randomized open-label trial (DolPHIN-2) and a two-part cost-effectiveness model composed of a short-term decision tree to estimate the PT rate and costs and an individual-based 3-state Markov model (HIV, AIDs, Dead) to estimate the long-term costs and health outcomes from the Ugandan payer perspective using a lifetime horizon and a 1-year Markov cycle. The main outcomes were the mean annual costs in US dollars ($), disability-adjusted life years (DALYs), and incremental cost-effectiveness ratio (ICER). Both the deterministic and probabilistic sensitivity analyses were conducted to assess parameter uncertainty. All costs were reported in 2022 US dollars, and costs and DALYs were discounted at an annual rate of 3%.
RESULTS: Compared to the EFV-based ART, the DTG-based ART was associated with fewer mean annual costs ($279 vs. $471) and DALYs (0.33 vs. 0.56), leading to an ICER of $851 per DALY averted. In the incremental analysis, the DTG-based ART dominated the EFV-based ART, i.e., it was less costly and more effective. These results were robust to deterministic and probabilistic sensitivity analyses.
CONCLUSIONS: The DTG-based ART is a highly cost-effective strategy compared with the EFV-based ART among women initiating treatment in the third trimester of pregnancy in a low-income setting. Given the favorable health benefits and cost savings associated with the DTG-based ART, this study supports the recommendations to use DTG as first-line therapy for pregnant and breastfeeding mothers and their children.